Fantasy Basketball Rankings 2022: Top breakouts, sleepers, busts from proven NBA model – CBS Sports

  • October 11, 2022

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Chicago Bulls point guard Lonzo Ball has not played in a game since January, and he is expected to miss at least a few more months following knee surgery. Ball spent the summer rehabbing in Los Angeles from a torn meniscus, seeking opinions from multiple specialists before opting to have another procedure. He was the team’s starting point guard last year, averaging 13.0 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game while shooting a career-high 42.3% from beyond the arc. Ball became one of the Fantasy basketball busts when he suffered the knee injury, though, as he played the fewest games (35) in his five-year career.
With Ball sidelined, Chicago can use Goran Dragic, Ayo Dosunmu or Coby White at the point guard position. Will any of them wind up being 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers due to Ball’s injury? Before making any 2022 Fantasy basketball picks, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proven model simulates each season 10,0000 times. This model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2022 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets.
These cheat sheets and rankings, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there’s a change on a roster, the team at SportsLine updates its cheat sheets.
Last year the model was extremely high on DeMar DeRozan even though he was being drafted in the fifth round on average, predicting he’d outperform small forwards being drafted ahead of him like Khris Middleton and Brandon Ingram. The result: DeRozan had a resurgent year where he finished fifth in the NBA in scoring (27.9 ppg) and wound up being a top-10 player overall in Fantasy basketball.
The model also called past Fantasy basketball sleepers like Lauri Markkanen and Aaron Gordon in 2018-19 and warned about Zach Randolph being a bust that same year. Anyone who followed the model’s Fantasy basketball advice on them was well on their way to making a deep postseason run.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NBA season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them
One of the top 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers the model is predicting: Bulls guard Zach LaVine. He underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his knee on May 24, but he told reporters that he feels good going into training camp. LaVine suffered the injury in January but opted to play through the pain down the stretch of the season.
The 27-year-old has made the NBA All-Star Game and the NBA Playoffs for the first time in his career over the last two seasons. He averaged 24.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game in 67 regular season games last year. LaVine is poised to have another strong season after signing a five-year contract extension and getting his knee issue fixed in the offseason. 
One of the 2022 Fantasy basketball breakouts the model has identified: Kings rookie forward Keegan Murray. He was one of the top scorers in college basketball last season at Iowa, averaging 23.5 points per game. Murray also turned the ball over just 1.1 times per game, despite attempting nearly 16 shots a night. He also averaged more than five free throw attempts per game, so he can take care of the ball in traffic.
Murray’s game translates perfectly to the NBA, as he is an elite outside shooter. He knocked down nearly 40% of his 3-point attempts, and he will get plenty of good looks playing alongside De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. Murray looked great during the NBA Summer League, averaging 21.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game in seven appearances. 
As for players to avoid, the model lists Cavaliers forward Evan Mobley as one of its biggest 2022 Fantasy basketball busts. Last year’s No. 3 overall pick had an outstanding rookie year, averaging 15 points, 8.3 rebounds and 1.7 blocks. But Cleveland’s major offseason transaction could force Mobley to take more of a backseat on offense as a sophomore. The Cavs traded for Donovan Mitchell who instantly becomes the team’s No. 1 option, moving everyone else down the pecking order.
Cleveland still has Darius Garland, Kevin Love, Caris LeVert and Jarrett Allen who all need touches, and only Mitchell will be the consistent scorer night-in and night-out. Additionally, Cavs coach J.B. Bickerstaff has already said he wants Mobley to be in the Defensive Player of the Year conversation, so Mobley focusing more on that end of the court could take away from offensive opportunities. The model ranks him below fellow power forward Tobias Harris and Keegan Murray, despite those two having much later 2022 Fantasy basketball ADPs.
SportsLine is also extremely high on a forward to make a big leap and advises you target him in 2022 Fantasy basketball drafts. This youngster is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Anthony Davis and Kevin DurantYou can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which forward shocks the NBA with a top-five performance at the position? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that’s nailed its Fantasy basketball picks, and find out.
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