Fantasy Basketball Rankings 2022: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from proven NBA computer model – CBS Sports

  • September 30, 2022

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The 2022-23 NBA season is right around the corner and Fantasy basketball players around the world are beginning their 2022 Fantasy basketball draft prep. Cade Cunningham was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NBA Draft and his development throughout his rookie season was clear. After shooting 39.4% from the floor and averaging 15.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.2 assists before the NBA All-Star break, Cunningham averaged 21.1 points, 5.7 rebounds and 6.5 assists in the second half and shot 45.7% from the floor.
That has a lot of people bullish about his Fantasy basketball prospects for 2022-23, but where exactly should you be targeting the second-year man out of Oklahoma State? A reliable set of 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings can help you answer that question while also identifying the 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts you need to be aware of. Before making any 2022 Fantasy basketball picks, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proven model simulates each season 10,0000 times. This model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2022 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets.
These cheat sheets and rankings, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there’s a change on a roster, the team at SportsLine updates its cheat sheets.
Last year the model was extremely high on DeMar DeRozan even though he was being drafted in the fifth round on average, predicting he’d outperform small forwards being drafted ahead of him like Khris Middleton and Brandon Ingram. The result: DeRozan had a resurgent year where he finished fifth in the NBA in scoring (27.9 ppg) and wound up being a top-10 player overall in Fantasy basketball.
The model also called past Fantasy basketball sleepers like Lauri Markkanen and Aaron Gordon in 2018-19 and warned about Zach Randolph being a bust that same year. Anyone who followed the model’s Fantasy basketball advice on them was well on their way to making a deep postseason run.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NBA season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them
One of the top 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers the model is predicting: Grizzlies center Steven Adams. The New Zealand native is entering his 10th season in the NBA and while he hasn’t been a dominant Fantasy producer during his career, he’s certainly provided some utility as a rebounder and rim protector that shoots a high percentage from the field because of the high-quality looks he gives himself while cleaning up the glass.
But Adams flashed improved playmaking ability during his first season in Memphis, averaging a career-high 3.4 assists per game. His 10.0 rebounds per game were also a career-high and he should be in line for close to 30 minutes per night in 2022-23 as the only true center on the Memphis roster. That’s a big reason why the model likes him as a top-20 option at the position despite the fact that he’s been the 30th center off the board on average.
One of the 2022 Fantasy basketball breakouts the model has identified: Pistons guard Jaden Ivey. Under head coach Dwayne Casey, Detroit finished middle-of-the-pack in terms of offensive pace (14th), but ranked 28th in points per game and offensive rating. Ivey profiles as a player that can immediately step in to keep up — or improve — the pace of play for the Pistons, and give the team more looks at the basket to raise those other offensive rankings.
Ivey is the son of a former WNBA player and a former NFL wide receiver, so there is no doubting his athletic pedigree, and he was taken No. 4 overall with the expectation that he would continue his ascent as a scorer. In his sophomore season at Purdue, he averaged 17.3 points per game, shot 46% from the floor and 35% from 3-point range. Although his defensive averages and assist rate weren’t incredible, he was a willing rebounder, and averaged nearly five per game. Ivey’s upside and potential usage have the model valuing him ahead of other familiar names like Gery Trent Jr. and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.
As for players to avoid, the model lists Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell as one of its top 2022 Fantasy basketball busts. After five seasons in Utah, Mitchell was traded to Cleveland this offseason in exchange for Markkanen, Collin Sexton, Ochai Agbaji, three first-round picks and two pick swaps. Now the Cavaliers are expecting him to help take a franchise that won 44 games last season and turn them into legitimate contenders in the East.
However, he’ll have to share the basketball with another ball-dominant guard in Darius Garland, who is eager to establish himself as a superstar in this league. Cleveland also has a frontcourt that will be hungry for shots with Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen and Kevin Love. Mitchell has also missed 34 games over the last two seasons and that’s another big reason why the model is ranking Mitchell several spots below his 2022 Fantasy basketball ADP.
SportsLine is also extremely high on a forward to make a big leap and advises you target him in 2022 Fantasy basketball drafts. This youngster is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Anthony Davis and Kevin DurantYou can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which forward shocks the NBA with a top-five performance at the position? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that’s nailed its Fantasy basketball picks, and find out.
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