Fantasy Basketball Rankings 2022: Best sleepers, breakouts, busts from proven NBA computer model – CBS Sports

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Investing in top players from explosive offenses is a tried-and-true Fantasy basketball strategy. That’s why players like Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Bucks, Ja Morant of the Grizzlies and Devin Booker of the Suns are flying off the board early in 2022 Fantasy basketball drafts. Players like RJ Barrett (Knicks), Cade Cunningham (Pistons) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (Mavericks), meanwhile, can be tougher to properly value because of the teams they play on. All have undeniable talent and upside, but will their respective offense allow them to be Fantasy forces?
Where should you slot all of those players in your 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings? And which 2022 Fantasy sleepers, breakouts and busts will define Fantasy drafts this year? Before making any 2022 Fantasy basketball picks, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proven model simulates each season 10,0000 times. This model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2022 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets.
These cheat sheets and rankings, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there’s a change on a roster, the team at SportsLine updates its cheat sheets.
Last year the model was extremely high on DeMar DeRozan even though he was being drafted in the fifth round on average, predicting he’d outperform small forwards being drafted ahead of him like Khris Middleton and Brandon Ingram. The result: DeRozan had a resurgent year where he finished fifth in the NBA in scoring (27.9 ppg) and wound up being a top-10 player overall in Fantasy basketball.
The model also called past Fantasy basketball sleepers like Lauri Markkanen and Aaron Gordon in 2018-19 and warned about Zach Randolph being a bust that same year. Anyone who followed the model’s Fantasy basketball advice on them was well on their way to making a deep postseason run.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NBA season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them
One of the top 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers the model is predicting: Knicks PG Jalen Brunson. After spending his first four seasons with the Mavericks, Brunson signed a four-year, $104 million deal with the Knicks this offseason. The Villanova product is coming off the best season of his career with the Mavs, averaging 16.3 points, 4.8 assists and 3.9 rebounds in 31.9 minutes.
Brunson will now be part of an offense that doesn’t feature Luka Doncic, which should lead to more shots and higher usage. With Doncic off the court last season, Brunson averaged 22.1 points, 7.4 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 1.0 steals. It’s easy to see why SportsLine’s model has Brunson, who’s currently being drafted in the sixth round on average, ahead of players like Jaylen Brown (4th-round ADP) and Tyrese Haliburton (4th) in its 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings. 
One of the 2022 Fantasy basketball breakouts the model has identified: Rockets power forward Jabari Smith. The Auburn product was the No. 3 overall pick in the 2022 NBA Draft after 16.9 points, 7.4 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.0 blocks per game during his lone season with the Tigers. And while he only shot 42.9% from the floor overall he did shoot an impressive 42.0% from the 3-point line.
The Rockets are certainly excited about Smith’s potential to stretch the floor at 6-foot-10 with a 7-foot-1 wingspan and a high release that allows him to get his shot off against closing defenders. With Smith, Jalen Green and Kevin Porter Jr., the Rockets have a trio of extremely young but extremely talented players and the model likes Smith as a top-15 option at power forward in his rookie season.
As for players to avoid, the model lists Celtics center Robert Williams III as one of its top 2022 Fantasy basketball busts. Williams has been dealing with injuries throughout his career, which has capped his Fantasy potential. He played 61 games last season, averaging 10 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.2 blocks per game. 
Now we know he’ll miss at least the first couple months of the 2022-23 season after undergoing another knee procedure. And while Boston hopes he’s healthy somewhere around the holidays, that lost time will be costly to Fantasy players and there’s certainly no guarantee he’ll return to old form once he is back. SportsLine’s model does not trust Williams at his current ADP, listing him as one of the 2022 Fantasy basketball busts. 
SportsLine is also extremely high on a forward to make a big leap and advises you target him in 2022 Fantasy basketball drafts. This youngster is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Anthony Davis and Kevin DurantYou can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy basketball rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2022 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which forward shocks the NBA with a top-five performance at the position? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that’s nailed its Fantasy basketball picks, and find out.
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